Presidential Polls 2024 By State Map. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. See the current state of the race, the electoral votes change from 2020, and the color palette for each state's probability.
The map shows the electoral vote count for harris and trump by state, with different colors indicating the margin and likelihood of victory. See the polling average, corrections for accuracy and bias, and predictions for senate and house races.